Nike’s China Collapse Signals Limits of Western Sportswear

Source: Morning Brew

Nike has now posted seven consecutive quarters of Chinese sales declines, a sustained deterioration that exposes how thoroughly domestic competitors like Li Ning and Anta have captured market share by embedding themselves in local sneaker culture and distribution networks that Nike’s global playbook cannot simply disrupt. The weakness persisting through 2024 suggests this isn’t cyclical—it’s structural, driven by Chinese consumers’ shifting preferences toward homegrown brands that feel culturally native rather than imported. For Nike’s broader business, a stalled China market (historically 10-15% of revenue) forces a reckoning with over-reliance on North America and reveals that brand heritage alone cannot overcome local competition that has learned to out-execute on relevance.